Donald Trump: Monthly window, Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say in March?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Mar 1, 2026 to Mar 31, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
32 words · 11 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 69%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Midnight Hammer | Yes | – | 0 | 56%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Escalator | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Lonely | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pulitzer Prize | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Snake | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Debate | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bitcoin | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Easter | Yes | – | 0 | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Charlie Kirk | No | – | 0 | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Aliens are Real | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Big Fat Cat | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Coward | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Erika Kirk | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Secret Word | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sudan | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFC Fight | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| War On Fraud | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Capital of the World | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Little Rocket Man | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China Virus / Wuhan Lab | No | – | 0 | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Third term | No | – | 0 | 46%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Truth Social | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hottest Nation | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Liberation Day | No | – | 0 | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Kanye / Taylor Swift | No | – | 0 | 39%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Banana Republic | No | – | 0 | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Judy Shelton | No | – | 0 | 36%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Low Energy | No | – | 0 | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| N Word | No | – | 0 | 24%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-in-march · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP