Donald Trump: Monthly window, Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say in December?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Dec 1, 2025 to Dec 31, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
23 words · 9 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat shutdown | Yes | – | 0 | 63%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Braggadocious | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Honda / Civic | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| I like this guy | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lee Greenwood | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Real Gold | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Super Duper | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| The Apprentice | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Very Merry Christmas | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Skedaddle | No | – | 0 | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Sucker / Sucked | No | – | 0 | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AGI / Artificial general intelligence | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cycling / Marathon | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No more questions | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rambunctious | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| RINO / Rhino | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Santa Claus | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Super Centennial | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Swimmingly | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 2028 | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knucklehead / Numbskull / Numskull | No | – | 0 | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fuck / Fucking / Fucked | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| N Word | No | – | 0 | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-in-december · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP