Will Donald Trump say “Kamala” 20+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kamala” 20+ times at 6 of 8 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 6, 2024 (75%), most recently on Oct 31, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (20+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 6/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Kamala 20+ times
- Probability
- 48% · n=8
- Settled
- 6/8 (75%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…no clue. He was sleeping most of the time. But his borders was Kamala. Nobody knows her last name. Does anybody know her last name?
…here. You know he he never heard from the borders. That was Kamala. She was appointed borders by Sleepy Joe. And I said, "Did you…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | Kamala 20+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Kamala 20+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Kamala 20+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Kamala 20+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Kamala 20+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Kamala 20+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Kamala 20+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Kamala 20+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Kamala 20+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kamala” 20+ times at 6 of 8 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 6, 2024 (75%), most recently on Oct 31, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Kamala 20+ times” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Kamala 20+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/kamala-20plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=kamala%20%2820%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP