Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Feb 25, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his Black History Month Reception?
Markets
16 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 51%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | Yes | 45%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Harlem | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 37%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Ramadan / Muslim | Yes | 21%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Snowball / Snow | No | 50%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 44%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | No | 40%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Jesse Jackson | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Malcolm X | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Working People / Working Class | No | 37%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Race / Racism / Racist | No | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 29%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | No | 25%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| MLK / Martin Luther King | No | 25%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Inequality / Equality | No | 21%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAR12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP