Will Pete Hegseth say “Trump” 5+ times?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Trump” 5+ times at 8 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 6, 2024 (73%), most recently on May 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 67% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

67%from settlement history only · n=11counts: named speaker only
Last 10
8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 7 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=pete-hegseth&word=trump%20%285%2B%20times%29

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Pete Hegseth

Trump (5+ times)

Probability
67% · n=11
Settled
8/11 (73%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Pete Hegseth yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Pete Hegseth say during 60 Minutes? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the President's Funding Request request? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Budget Hearing on Department of Defense? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during his Press Briefing? · settled yes

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Department of Defense budget hearing? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Pentagon Press Briefing? · settled yes

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Pentagon Press Briefing? · settled yes

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Iran Press Briefing? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 12 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 5, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Apr 24, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Apr 16, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Apr 8, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Apr 7, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Mar 31, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Mar 19, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Mar 13, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Mar 10, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiNo
Mar 9, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Mar 6, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiNo
Dec 6, 2024Trump 5+ timesPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Pete Hegseth say “Trump (5+ times)”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Trump” 5+ times at 8 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 6, 2024 (73%), most recently on May 5, 2026.
What is the probability Pete Hegseth says “Trump (5+ times)” next time?
67%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Pete Hegseth: ‘Trump (5+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/pete-hegseth/words/trump-5plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=pete-hegseth&word=trump%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=pete-hegseth&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP