Will Pete Hegseth say “Terrorist / Terrorism”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Terrorist / Terrorism” at 9 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jul 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.

53%from settlement history only · n=15counts: named speaker only
Last 10
7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes no yes yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=pete-hegseth&word=terrorism%20%2F%20terrorist

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Pete Hegseth

Terrorist / Terrorism

Probability
53% · n=15
Settled
9/15 (60%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Pete Hegseth yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Pete Hegseth say during 60 Minutes? · settled no

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the President's Funding Request request? · settled yes

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What will Pete Hegseth say during Face the Nation? · settled yes

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What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address? · settled yes

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Budget Hearing on Department of Defense? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during his Press Briefing? · settled no

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Department of Defense budget hearing? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Pentagon Press Briefing? · settled yes

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Pentagon Press Briefing? · settled yes

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Iran Press Briefing? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 16 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 13, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiNo
Jul 21, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Jun 14, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
May 29, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
May 5, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiNo
Apr 24, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Apr 16, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Apr 8, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Apr 7, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Mar 31, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiNo
Mar 19, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Mar 13, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiNo
Mar 10, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Mar 9, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiNo
Mar 6, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiNo
Mar 5, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Pete Hegseth say “Terrorist / Terrorism”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Terrorist / Terrorism” at 9 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jul 21, 2026.
What is the probability Pete Hegseth says “Terrorist / Terrorism” next time?
53%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Pete Hegseth: ‘Terrorist / Terrorism’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/pete-hegseth/words/terrorism-or-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=pete-hegseth&word=terrorism%20%2F%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=pete-hegseth&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP