Will Melania Trump say “Take It Down”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Melania Trump said “Take It Down” at 2 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 17, 2026 (20%), most recently on Apr 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.

23%from settlement history only · n=10counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Melania Trump

Take It Down

Probability
23% · n=10
Settled
2/10 (20%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Melania Trump yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Melania say during her announcement? · settled no

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What will Melania say during Fox & Friends? · settled no

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What will Melania say during her Fostering the Future announcement? · settled no

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What will Melania say during her NC remarks? · not listed

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What will Melania say during her IndyCar announcement? · not listed

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What will Melania say during her Fostering the Future Accounts announcement? · not listed

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What will Melania say during the AI Challenge Awards Ceremony? · settled no

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What will Melania say during the First Lady’s Luncheon? · settled yes

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What will Melania say during her roundtable discussion? · settled no

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What will Melania say during her remarks? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 19, 2026Take It DownKalshiNo
Sep 23, 2026Take It DownKalshiNo
Sep 22, 2026Take It DownKalshiNo
Jun 9, 2026Take it DownKalshiNo
Apr 23, 2026Take it DownKalshiYes
Apr 15, 2026Take it DownKalshiNo
Mar 25, 2026Take It DownKalshiYes
Mar 24, 2026Take It DownKalshiNo
Mar 3, 2026Take it DownKalshiNo
Jan 17, 2026Take it DownKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Melania Trump say “Take It Down”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Melania Trump said “Take It Down” at 2 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 17, 2026 (20%), most recently on Apr 23, 2026.
What is the probability Melania Trump says “Take It Down” next time?
23%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Melania Trump: ‘Take It Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/melania-trump/words/take-it-down (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=melania-trump&word=take%20it%20down · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=melania-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP