Melania Trump: Remarks, Jan 17, 2026
Kalshi What will Melania say during the AI for Tomorrow's Leaders Event?
Markets
12 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald | No | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Deepfake / Deep Fake | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Safe / Safety / Safer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| School / Campus | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Take it Down | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Video | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zoom | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Grok / ChatGPT | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Robot / Robotics | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Education | No | 18%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Barron | No | 16%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMELANIAMENTION-26JAN17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP