Will Kathy Hochul say “Fraud”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Fraud” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
48%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 4/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kathy Hochul
Fraud
- Probability
- 48% · n=8
- Settled
- 4/8 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Kathy Hochul say “Fraud”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Fraud” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Fraud” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Fraud’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/fraud (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=fraud · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP