Will Kamala Harris say “Abortion”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kamala Harris said “Abortion” at 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 16, 2024 (38%), most recently on Sep 19, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kamala Harris
Abortion
- Probability
- 29% · n=8
- Settled
- 3/8 (38%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kamala Harris yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2025 | Abortion |  Kalshi | No |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Abortion |  Polymarket | No |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Abortion | Polymarket | No |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Abortion | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Abortion | Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Abortion | Polymarket | No |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Abortion | Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Abortion | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Kamala Harris say “Abortion”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kamala Harris said “Abortion” at 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 16, 2024 (38%), most recently on Sep 19, 2024.
- What is the probability Kamala Harris says “Abortion” next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kamala Harris: ‘Abortion’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kamala-harris/words/abortion (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kamala-harris&word=abortion · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kamala-harris&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP