Kamala Harris: Speech, Aug 16, 2024
Polymarket What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
Markets
13 words · 1 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Not going back | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Abortion | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Context | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Couch | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gouge/Gouging 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Price control | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Venn diagram | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weird/Weirdo | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Coconut | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Unburdened | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-kamala-harris-say-during-friday-speech · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP