Kamala Harris: Interview, Dec 17, 2025
Polymarket What will Kamala Harris say on Jimmy Kimmel Live! on December 17?
Markets
11 words · 3 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 52%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| 107 Days | Yes | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Christmas | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election 3+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Project 2025 | No | 40%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 33%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Democracy 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DNC / Convention | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| King / Oligarch | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Midterm | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 14%n=15 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-kamala-harris-say-on-jimmy-kimmel-live-on-december-17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP