Kamala Harris: Rally, Oct 29, 2024
Polymarket What will Kamala say during DC rally today?
Markets
18 words · 4 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abortion Ban | Yes | 64%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Project 2025 | Yes | 56%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 20+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Coach Walz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Coup | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fascist/Fascism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| God 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hitler | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Insurrection | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| January 6 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Joyful | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Madison Square Garden | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Puerto Rico/Rican | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Middle Class 5+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| McDonald's | No | 17%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | No | 10%n=12 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-kamala-say-during-dc-rally-today · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP