Kamala Harris: Interview, Aug 29, 2024
Polymarket What will Kamala say during CNN interview?
Markets
21 words · 4 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ceasefire | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Border | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Palestine/Palestinian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oakland | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Project 2025 | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Abortion | No | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Beyonce | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DEI | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democracy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| JD Vance | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prosecutor | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| San Francisco | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tips | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Unrealized | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wall | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Joy | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| McDonald's | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Weird | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-kamala-say-during-cnn-interview · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP