Kamala Harris: Remarks, Oct 10, 2024
Polymarket What will Kamala say during Univision town hall?
Markets
23 words · 12 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abortion Ban | Yes | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Project 2025 | Yes | 51%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Dreamer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| First Time Home Buyer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gouging | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hurricane | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Insulin | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Milton | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Opportunity 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pathway To Citizenship | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Border 5+ times | Yes | 18%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Opportunity Economy 2+ times | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Concept | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deportation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fair Share | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hola | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Latino/Latina 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Million 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Voter ID | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation 3+ times | No | 18%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | No | 11%n=10 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-kamala-say-during-univision-town-hall · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP