Will JD Vance say “Wage”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Wage” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 17, 2025 (67%), most recently on Oct 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Wage
- Probability
- 48% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 2 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…who isn't properly qualified, we've made the roads safer, we've seen trucker wages go up by 7.5 percent, and that effort was obviously led by…
…in order to create record job growth, in order to create record wage growth, in order to induce trillions of dollars of new investment into…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does JD Vance say “Wage”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Wage” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 17, 2025 (67%), most recently on Oct 19, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Wage” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Wage’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/wage (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=wage · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP