Will JD Vance say “Invest / Invested / Investment”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance said “Invest / Invested / Investment” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 14, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Invest / Invested / Investment
- Probability
- 36% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…on tips, no taxes on overtime. We've seen $19 trillion of new investment come into the country, but most of that is building new factories…
…over the last many years, let's say that they would like to invest in building a power plant. That actually is impossible right now because…
…record wage growth, in order to induce trillions of dollars of new investment into our country, that's because he cares about that stuff. What he…
…working on matters that involve Qatar, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, three countries that combined have given him more than $2.5 billion for his investment firm?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Invest / Invested / Investment |  Kalshi | No |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Invest / Invested / Investment | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Invest / Invested / Investment | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Invest / Invested / Investment”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance said “Invest / Invested / Investment” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 14, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Invest / Invested / Investment” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Invest / Invested / Investment’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/invest-or-invested-or-investment (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=invest%20%2F%20invested%20%2F%20investment · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP