Will “Immigrant / Immigration” be said at the next Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Immigrant / Immigration” was said at the Congressional hearings on 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- any witness
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Congressional hearings
Immigrant / Immigration
- Probability
- 72% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
Next listing counts: any witness
We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Immigrant / Immigration” said at the Congressional hearings?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Immigrant / Immigration” was said at the Congressional hearings on 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 25, 2026.
- What is the probability “Immigrant / Immigration” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
- 72%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any witness.
Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Immigrant / Immigration’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/immigrant-or-immigration (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=immigrant%20%2F%20immigration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP