Will “Anthropic / Claude” be said at the next Congressional hearings?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Anthropic / Claude” was said at the Congressional hearings on 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 4, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

51%from settlement history only · n=4counts: any witness
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
any witness
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=anthropic%20%2F%20claude

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

Anthropic / Claude

Probability
51% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)

Next listing counts: any witness

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 24, 2026Anthropic / ClaudeKalshiNo
Jun 16, 2026Claude / AnthropicKalshiNo
Jun 11, 2026Anthropic / ClaudeKalshiYes
Jun 4, 2026Anthropic / ClaudeKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Anthropic / Claude” said at the Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Anthropic / Claude” was said at the Congressional hearings on 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 4, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 11, 2026.
What is the probability “Anthropic / Claude” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
51%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Anthropic / Claude’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/anthropic-or-claude (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=anthropic%20%2F%20claude · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP