TBPN
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 188 word markets on TBPN since 2025, on 155 different words.
History Wall
1–40 of 159, most settled first · page 1 of 3| Word | Dec 4 ’25episode | Feb 13 ’26episode | Mar 19episode | Mar 23debate | Mar 31episode | Apr 9episode | Apr 24episode | May 29episode | Jun 10episode | Jul 23latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Not listed: Trump, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Trump, Feb 13 ’26 episode | 0 times: Trump, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Trump, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Trump, Mar 31 episode | 3 times: Trump, Apr 9 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Trump, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Trump, May 29 episode | Not listed: Trump, Jun 10 episode | 0 times: Trump, Jul 23 episode | 1/333% | 1/520% | 31%n=5 from settlement history |
| Prediction Market | Not listed: Prediction Market, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Prediction Market, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Prediction Market, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Prediction Market, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Prediction Market, Mar 31 episode | 8 times: Prediction Market, Apr 9 episode, counts as said | 0 times: Prediction Market, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Prediction Market, May 29 episode | Not listed: Prediction Market, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Prediction Market, Jul 23 episode | 1/250% | 2/450% | 48%n=4 from settlement history |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 23 debate | 1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 31 episode, counts as said | 14 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 9 episode, counts as said | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 24 episode | 1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 29 episode, counts as said | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 23 episode | 3/3100% | 3/3100% | 65%n=3 from settlement history |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | Not listed: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Feb 13 ’26 episode | 10 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Mar 19 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Apr 24 episode | 0 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, May 29 episode | Not listed: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Jun 10 episode | 1 time: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Jul 23 episode, counts as said | 2/367% | 2/367% | 51%n=3 from settlement history |
| Anthropic / Claude | Not listed: Anthropic / Claude, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Anthropic / Claude, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Anthropic / Claude, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Anthropic / Claude, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Anthropic / Claude, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Anthropic / Claude, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Anthropic / Claude, Apr 24 episode | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, May 29 episode | 2 times: Anthropic / Claude, Jun 10 episode, counts as said (our count 2 · the market settled no) | 5 times: Anthropic / Claude, Jul 23 episode, counts as said | 2/367% | 1/333% | 37%n=3 from settlement history |
| Data Center | Not listed: Data Center, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Data Center, Feb 13 ’26 episode | 0 times: Data Center, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Data Center, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Data Center, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Data Center, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Data Center, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Data Center, May 29 episode | 7 times: Data Center, Jun 10 episode, counts as said (our count 7 · the market settled no) | 0 times: Data Center, Jul 23 episode | 1/333% | 0/30% | 22%n=3 from settlement history |
| China / Chinese | Not listed: China / Chinese, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Mar 19 episode | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: China / Chinese, Mar 31 episode | 2 times: China / Chinese, Apr 9 episode, counts as said | Not listed: China / Chinese, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, May 29 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jul 23 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 55%n=2 from settlement history |
| GLP-1 / Ozempic | Not listed: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Settled yes: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Mar 19 episode | 5 times: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Mar 23 debate, counts as said | Not listed: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: GLP-1 / Ozempic, May 29 episode | Not listed: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: GLP-1 / Ozempic, Jul 23 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 53%n=2 from settlement history |
| Blockchain | Not listed: Blockchain, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Blockchain, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Blockchain, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Blockchain, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Blockchain, Mar 31 episode | 9 times: Blockchain, Apr 9 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Blockchain, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Blockchain, May 29 episode | Not listed: Blockchain, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Blockchain, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/250% | 43%n=2 from settlement history |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | Not listed: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: OpenAI / ChatGPT, May 29 episode | 3 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Jun 10 episode, counts as said (our count 3 · the market settled no) | 1 time: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Jul 23 episode, counts as said | 2/2100% | 1/250% | 43%n=2 from settlement history |
| Kalshi | Not listed: Kalshi, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Kalshi, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Kalshi, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Kalshi, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Kalshi, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Kalshi, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Kalshi, Apr 24 episode | 0 times: Kalshi, May 29 episode | Not listed: Kalshi, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Kalshi, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 1/250% | 43%n=2 from settlement history |
| LeBron | Not listed: LeBron, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: LeBron, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: LeBron, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: LeBron, Mar 23 debate | 1 time: LeBron, Mar 31 episode, counts as said | Not listed: LeBron, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: LeBron, Apr 24 episode | 0 times: LeBron, May 29 episode | Not listed: LeBron, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: LeBron, Jul 23 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 43%n=2 from settlement history |
| Sleep | Not listed: Sleep, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Sleep, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Sleep, Mar 19 episode | Settled no: Sleep, Mar 23 debate | 1 time: Sleep, Mar 31 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Sleep, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Sleep, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Sleep, May 29 episode | Not listed: Sleep, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Sleep, Jul 23 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 47%n=2 from settlement history |
| TikTok | Not listed: TikTok, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: TikTok, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: TikTok, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: TikTok, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: TikTok, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: TikTok, Apr 9 episode | 1 time: TikTok, Apr 24 episode, counts as said | Not listed: TikTok, May 29 episode | Not listed: TikTok, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: TikTok, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/250% | 47%n=2 from settlement history |
| Elon / Musk | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Apr 24 episode | 0 times: Elon / Musk, May 29 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/20% | 29%n=2 from settlement history |
| Nvidia | Not listed: Nvidia, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Nvidia, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Nvidia, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Nvidia, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Nvidia, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Nvidia, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Nvidia, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Nvidia, May 29 episode | Not listed: Nvidia, Jun 10 episode | 0 times: Nvidia, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/20% | 29%n=2 from settlement history |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, May 29 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jul 23 episode | – | 0/20% | 26%n=2 from settlement history |
| Agent / Agentic | Not listed: Agent / Agentic, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Agent / Agentic, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Agent / Agentic, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Agent / Agentic, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Agent / Agentic, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Agent / Agentic, Apr 9 episode | 2 times: Agent / Agentic, Apr 24 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Agent / Agentic, May 29 episode | Not listed: Agent / Agentic, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Agent / Agentic, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence3+ times | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Feb 13 ’26 episode | 7 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Mar 19 episode, counts as said | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Mar 23 debate | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Mar 31 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Apr 9 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Apr 24 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), May 29 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Jun 10 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times), Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Amazon / AWS | Not listed: Amazon / AWS, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Amazon / AWS, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Amazon / AWS, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Amazon / AWS, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Amazon / AWS, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Amazon / AWS, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Amazon / AWS, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Amazon / AWS, May 29 episode | 5 times: Amazon / AWS, Jun 10 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Amazon / AWS, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Nvidia / AMD5+ times | 5 times: Nvidia / AMD 5+ times, Dec 4 ’25 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Nvidia / AMD 5+ times, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Nvidia / AMD 5+ times, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Nvidia / AMD 5+ times, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Nvidia / AMD 5+ times, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Nvidia / AMD 5+ times, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Nvidia / AMD 5+ times, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Nvidia / AMD 5+ times, May 29 episode | Not listed: Nvidia / AMD 5+ times, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Nvidia / AMD 5+ times, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Animal | Not listed: Animal, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Animal, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Animal, Mar 19 episode | Settled yes: Animal, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Animal, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Animal, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Animal, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Animal, May 29 episode | Not listed: Animal, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Animal, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bitcoin2+ times | Not listed: Bitcoin (2+ times), Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin (2+ times), Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin (2+ times), Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin (2+ times), Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Bitcoin (2+ times), Mar 31 episode | 4 times: Bitcoin (2+ times), Apr 9 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Bitcoin (2+ times), Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin (2+ times), May 29 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin (2+ times), Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin (2+ times), Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bitcoin / BTC | Not listed: Bitcoin / BTC, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / BTC, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / BTC, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / BTC, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Bitcoin / BTC, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / BTC, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / BTC, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / BTC, May 29 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / BTC, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / BTC, Jul 23 episode | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Blood Pressure | Not listed: Blood Pressure, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Blood Pressure, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Blood Pressure, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Blood Pressure, Mar 23 debate | 1 time: Blood Pressure, Mar 31 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Blood Pressure, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Blood Pressure, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Blood Pressure, May 29 episode | Not listed: Blood Pressure, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Blood Pressure, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| RFK / Bobby | Not listed: RFK / Bobby, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: RFK / Bobby, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: RFK / Bobby, Mar 19 episode | 1 time: RFK / Bobby, Mar 23 debate, counts as said | Not listed: RFK / Bobby, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: RFK / Bobby, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: RFK / Bobby, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: RFK / Bobby, May 29 episode | Not listed: RFK / Bobby, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: RFK / Bobby, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, May 29 episode | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ChatGPT | Not listed: ChatGPT, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: ChatGPT, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: ChatGPT, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: ChatGPT, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: ChatGPT, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: ChatGPT, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: ChatGPT, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: ChatGPT, May 29 episode | Not listed: ChatGPT, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: ChatGPT, Jul 23 episode | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Collector / Collectible | Not listed: Collector / Collectible, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Collector / Collectible, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Collector / Collectible, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Collector / Collectible, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Collector / Collectible, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Collector / Collectible, Apr 9 episode | 3 times: Collector / Collectible, Apr 24 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Collector / Collectible, May 29 episode | Not listed: Collector / Collectible, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Collector / Collectible, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Copilot | Not listed: Copilot, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Copilot, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Copilot, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Copilot, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Copilot, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Copilot, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Copilot, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Copilot, May 29 episode | Not listed: Copilot, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Copilot, Jul 23 episode | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Cost Plus Drugs | Not listed: Cost Plus Drugs, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Cost Plus Drugs, Feb 13 ’26 episode | 1 time: Cost Plus Drugs, Mar 19 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Cost Plus Drugs, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Cost Plus Drugs, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Cost Plus Drugs, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Cost Plus Drugs, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Cost Plus Drugs, May 29 episode | Not listed: Cost Plus Drugs, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Cost Plus Drugs, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| CoWork | Not listed: CoWork, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: CoWork, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: CoWork, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: CoWork, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: CoWork, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: CoWork, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: CoWork, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: CoWork, May 29 episode | 5 times: CoWork, Jun 10 episode, counts as said | Not listed: CoWork, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Dallas / Mavericks | Not listed: Dallas / Mavericks, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Dallas / Mavericks, Feb 13 ’26 episode | 1 time: Dallas / Mavericks, Mar 19 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Dallas / Mavericks, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Dallas / Mavericks, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Dallas / Mavericks, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Dallas / Mavericks, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Dallas / Mavericks, May 29 episode | Not listed: Dallas / Mavericks, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Dallas / Mavericks, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| DeFi | Not listed: DeFi, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: DeFi, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: DeFi, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: DeFi, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: DeFi, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: DeFi, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: DeFi, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: DeFi, May 29 episode | Not listed: DeFi, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: DeFi, Jul 23 episode | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Dopamine | Not listed: Dopamine, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Dopamine, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Dopamine, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Dopamine, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Dopamine, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Dopamine, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Dopamine, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Dopamine, May 29 episode | Not listed: Dopamine, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Dopamine, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Election, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Election, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Election, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Election, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Election, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Election, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Election, May 29 episode | Not listed: Election, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Election, Jul 23 episode | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ethereum / ETH | Not listed: Ethereum / ETH, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Ethereum / ETH, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Ethereum / ETH, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Ethereum / ETH, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Ethereum / ETH, Mar 31 episode | 1 time: Ethereum / ETH, Apr 9 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Ethereum / ETH, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Ethereum / ETH, May 29 episode | Not listed: Ethereum / ETH, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Ethereum / ETH, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Exchange | Not listed: Exchange, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Exchange, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Exchange, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Exchange, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Exchange, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Exchange, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Exchange, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Exchange, May 29 episode | Not listed: Exchange, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Exchange, Jul 23 episode | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Game / Gaming | Not listed: Game / Gaming, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: Game / Gaming, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: Game / Gaming, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: Game / Gaming, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: Game / Gaming, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: Game / Gaming, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: Game / Gaming, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: Game / Gaming, May 29 episode | Not listed: Game / Gaming, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Game / Gaming, Jul 23 episode | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| GPT7+ times | Not listed: GPT 7+ times, Dec 4 ’25 episode | Not listed: GPT 7+ times, Feb 13 ’26 episode | Not listed: GPT 7+ times, Mar 19 episode | Not listed: GPT 7+ times, Mar 23 debate | Not listed: GPT 7+ times, Mar 31 episode | Not listed: GPT 7+ times, Apr 9 episode | Not listed: GPT 7+ times, Apr 24 episode | Not listed: GPT 7+ times, May 29 episode | Not listed: GPT 7+ times, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: GPT 7+ times, Jul 23 episode | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 158 of 165 settled words resolved (95.8%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Lisa Su say during the TBPN Podcast? | Speaker-labelled captions | 13 | 4 yes · 9 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Jun 10, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Sridhar Ramaswamy say during the TBPN Podcast? | Speaker-labelled captions | 12 | 2 yes · 10 no | 6/11 (55%) |
| May 29, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Kyle Kuzma say on the TBPN Podcast? | Speaker-labelled captions | 15 | 2 yes · 13 no | 14/14 (100%) |
| Apr 24, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Gary Vee say during the TBPN Podcast? | Speaker-labelled captions | 12 | 5 yes · 7 no | 11/11 (100%) |
| Apr 9, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will CZ say during the TBPN Podcast? | Speaker-labelled captions | 13 | 8 yes · 5 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Mar 31, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Whoop CEO Will Ahmed say on the TBPN Podcast? | Speaker-labelled captions | 12 | 6 yes · 6 no | 11/11 (100%) |
| Mar 23, 2026 | DebateWhat will be said during the TBPN Peptide debate? | Speaker-labelled captions | 16 | 6 yes · 10 no | 4/4 (100%) |
| Mar 19, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Mark Cuban say during the TBPN Podcast? | Speaker-labelled captions | 14 | 8 yes · 6 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| Feb 13, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Andrew Huberman say on the TBPN Podcast | no transcript | 12 | 7 yes · 5 no | – |
| Dec 4, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Jim Cramer say during TBPN on December 4? | Speaker-labelled captions | 18 | 1 yes · 17 no | 18/18 (100%) |
| Nov 7, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Vlad Tenev say during the TBPN Podcast? | Speaker-labelled captions | 12 | 5 yes · 7 no | 11/12 (92%) |
| Oct 29, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Satya Nadella say during the TBPN Podcast? | Speaker-labelled captions | 10 | 3 yes · 7 no | 9/10 (90%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “TBPN: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/tbpn · words: /api/v1/history?entity=tbpn · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP