Will “TikTok” be said on TBPN next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “TikTok” was said on TBPN in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 10, 2025 (50%), most recently on Apr 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

47%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

TBPN

TikTok

Probability
47% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Lisa Su say during the TBPN Podcast? · not listed

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What will Gary Vee say during the TBPN Podcast? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 6 by speakers the rule does not count.

Gary Vaynerchukguest1:27:25In transcript

…in GMV. A trillion in GMV this year in stuff sold. And TikTok shop and whatnot are doing real numbers in The US. Mhmm. And…

Every match in the transcript

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Apr 24, 2026TikTokKalshiYes1
Oct 10, 2025TikTokPolymarketNo0

Questions

How often is “TikTok” said on TBPN?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “TikTok” was said on TBPN in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 10, 2025 (50%), most recently on Apr 24, 2026.
What is the probability “TikTok” is said on TBPN next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘TikTok’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/tiktok (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=tiktok · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP