Will “Prediction Market” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Prediction Market” was said on TBPN in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 22, 2025 (50%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
Prediction Market
- Probability
- 48% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
8 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
Yeah. So I think I today, I do think prediction markets has a huge potential and it's already pretty big. Like, the the top players…
…times. I every time I watch him talk, he seems to mention prediction markets. So it seems like the regulators and the, traditional markets are…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Prediction Market |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Prediction Market | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Prediction Market | Kalshi | Yes | 10 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Prediction market |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Prediction Market” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Prediction Market” was said on TBPN in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 22, 2025 (50%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026.
- What is the probability “Prediction Market” is said on TBPN next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Prediction Market’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/prediction-market (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=prediction%20market · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP