Will “Elon / Musk” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Elon / Musk” was not said on TBPN in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 10, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
Elon / Musk
- Probability
- 29% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…lot of the call was focused on the terrestrial compute build out. Elon compared SpaceX and the team there to the other sort of cloud…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Yeah. I mean, like, Elon kinda created the playbook. Right? XAI was a separate thing. You raise fresh funds. You get... It's a way... It…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…spectacle was Yeah. And the demo and the technology with like the delivery from Elon and the the two other guys. Oh, yeah. Like Lot
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…it and jump out of line? But if it's amazing, I mean, Elon's saying it's like you're gonna be the most amazing product demo ever.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…me a slightly different metric than just mass because... He's a freaky.... Elon interview was so long. I think if he's only on there for…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Elon / Musk |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Elon / Musk |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Elon / Musk” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Elon / Musk” was not said on TBPN in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 10, 2025.
- What is the probability “Elon / Musk” is said on TBPN next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Elon / Musk’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/elon-or-musk (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=elon%20%2F%20musk · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP