Will “Anthropic / Claude” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Anthropic / Claude” was said on TBPN in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 29, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jul 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
Anthropic / Claude
- Probability
- 37% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
5 counted; 12 by speakers the rule does not count.
know, Tom Brown of Anthropic with us, you know, Santosh of Meta, Sachin of OpenAI, you know you know, Germany at AT and T. Yeah.…
…we've been I I kid you not, we have very much wanted Anthropic on AMD for a long time. And we just had to find…
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 27 by speakers the rule does not count.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Anthropic / Claude |  Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Anthropic / Claude | Kalshi | No | 2 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| May 29, 2026 | Anthropic / Claude | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Anthropic / Claude” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Anthropic / Claude” was said on TBPN in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 29, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jul 23, 2026.
- What is the probability “Anthropic / Claude” is said on TBPN next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Anthropic / Claude’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/anthropic-or-claude (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=anthropic%20%2F%20claude · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP