TBPN: Episode, Feb 13, 2026

Fri, Feb 13EpisodeHistory onlyTBPN

Updated

Markets

12 words · 7 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Dopamine Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
GLP-1 / Ozempic Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Neuroplasticity Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Nicotine Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Podcast Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Testosterone / TRT Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Blue Light No–new new word, no probability yet–
Pharma / Pharmaceutical No–new new word, no probability yet–
Sauna No–new new word, no probability yet–
Seed Oil No–new new word, no probability yet–
Sunlight No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTBPNMENTION-26FEB13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP