Will “Trump” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on TBPN in 1 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 10, 2025 (20%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
Trump
- Probability
- 31% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
Yeah. I think America, for the last few years, before the Trump administration was, you know, fairly anti crypto, so many of the, founders left,…
…think the president Xi in China is easier to predict than president Trump. President Trump is like a wildcard. Right? It's like which is which…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Trump” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on TBPN in 1 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 10, 2025 (20%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump” is said on TBPN next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP