Will “China / Chinese” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “China / Chinese” was said on TBPN in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 23, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
China / Chinese
- Probability
- 55% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…They're very hard to predict. Mhmm. I think the president Xi in China is easier to predict than president Trump. President Trump is like a…
…Some sometimes AI make very obvious mistakes. You know, you you pronounce Chinese names wrong, which I would not make that mistake. Yeah. You pronounce…
Counts: named speaker only
9 by speakers the rule does not count.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | China / Chinese |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | China / Chinese | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “China / Chinese” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “China / Chinese” was said on TBPN in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 23, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026.
- What is the probability “China / Chinese” is said on TBPN next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘China / Chinese’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/china-or-chinese (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=china%20%2F%20chinese · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP