TBPN: Episode, Mar 23, 2026
On the Mar 23, 2026 episode of TBPN, 6 of the 15 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 4 of 4 checked settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 4 of 4- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Placebo | Yes | 8 | 13 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| GLP-1 / Ozempic | Yes | 5 | 8 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inject / Injecting / Injection | Yes | 3 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| RFK / Bobby | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Animal | Yes | – | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | – | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biohack / Biohacker | No | – | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bryan Johnson | No | – | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Daraprim | No | – | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Huberman | No | – | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MAHA / Make America Healthy Again | No | – | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pure / Purity | No | – | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Silicon Valley | No | – | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sleep | No | – | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wolverine | No | – | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsPublisher transcript · TBPN podcast transcript (publisher RSS) · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…other people will have it. And we don't know whether these are placebo or not. We can't make a definitive statement. And we don't have…
…drug of all time or set of drugs of all time, the GLP-one receptor agonists. So I'm not saying we only have peptides in the…
…modality, peptides are one that are more interesting than before now that injecting is normal. Now the wellness and optimization is normal, not just treating…
…of where we probably disagree is the 14 or so peptides that RFK has said they might move from category one two, meaning they cannot…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/tbpn:2026-03-23:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=tbpn:2026-03-23:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP