Will “Billionaire” be said on The Last Word next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Billionaire” was said on The Last Word in 6 of 21 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 19, 2026 (29%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=21, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.

33%from settlement history only · n=21counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=billionaire

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

Billionaire

Probability
33% · n=21
Settled
6/21 (29%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 2 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

2 counted.

Josh Turekguest42:40In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Josh Turekguest44:17In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Josh Turekguest30:24In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Iowa farmer (video clip)other26:26In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 21 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 22, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes2
Oct 21, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Oct 15, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Oct 7, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Oct 6, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes2
Oct 5, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Sep 30, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Sep 22, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Sep 16, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Sep 14, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Aug 27, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Jul 30, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jul 29, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes–
Jun 30, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes–
Jun 18, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes–
Jun 10, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Jun 1, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
May 28, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
May 26, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes–
May 20, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Mar 19, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–

Questions

How often is “Billionaire” said on The Last Word?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Billionaire” was said on The Last Word in 6 of 21 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 19, 2026 (29%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026.
What is the probability “Billionaire” is said on The Last Word next time?
33%, from settlement history (n=21). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Billionaire’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/billionaire (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=billionaire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP