Will “Trump” be said on Meet the Press next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on Meet the Press in 8 of 10 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 5, 2026 (80%), most recently on Jul 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceMeet the Press
Trump
- Probability
- 45% · n=10
- Settled
- 8/10 (80%)
- Last 5 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Trump | No | 0 | |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Trump | Yes | – | |
| May 31, 2026 | Trump | Yes | – | |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trump | Yes | – | |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Trump | No | – | |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Trump | Yes | – | |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Trump | Yes | – | |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Trump | Yes | – | |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Trump | Yes | – | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Trump | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Trump” said on Meet the Press?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on Meet the Press in 8 of 10 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 5, 2026 (80%), most recently on Jul 26, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump” is said on Meet the Press next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Meet the Press: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/meet-the-press/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meet-the-press&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meet-the-press&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP