Meet the Press (NBC), August 30, 2026
On the Aug 30, 2026 episode of Meet the Press, 10 of the 13 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 12 of 13 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Updated
Markets
13 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 13- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 11 | 16 | ✓ | 31%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 8 | 20 | ✓ | 34%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 8 | 43 | ✓ | 34%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 6 | 9 | ✓ | 38%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 5 | 26 | ✓ | 44%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Paxton | Yes | 4 | 13 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Court / SCOTUS | Yes | 2 | 7 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Midterm | Yes | 2 | 14 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | Yes | 2 | 20 | ✓ | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Talarico | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Canada / Canadian | No | 0 | 8 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/meet-the-press:2026-08-30:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=meet-the-press:2026-08-30:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP