Meet the Press: Episode, Aug 16, 2026
Kalshi What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press?
Markets
13 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 68%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 65%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 65%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 54%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 51%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democracy / Democratic | Yes | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | Yes | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 65%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 50%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 38%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 35%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMTPMENTION-26AUG16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP