Meet the Press: Episode, Feb 2, 2026

Mon, Feb 2EpisodeHistory onlyMeet the Press

Updated

Markets

10 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Trump Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Epstein Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE / National Guard Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Minnesota / Minneapolis Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Noem / Bovino Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Corrupt / Corruption No–new new word, no probability yet–
Republican No–new new word, no probability yet–
Shutdown / Shut Down No–new new word, no probability yet–
Victim / Withheld No–new new word, no probability yet–
Wealth / Billionaire No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMTPMENTION-26FEB02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP