Meet the Press: Episode, Aug 9, 2026
Kalshi What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Meet the Press?
Markets
13 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel / Gaza | Yes | 50%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 50%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| AIPAC | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | Yes | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 34%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie / Sanders | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Muslim / Islam | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | No | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 36%n=10 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
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