Meet the Press: Episode, Apr 5, 2026
Kalshi What will Ro Khanna say during Meet the Press?
Markets
11 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 69%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | 56%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 45%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 25%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE / TSA | No | 44%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 43%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordability / Affordable | No | 25%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 25%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMTPMENTION-26APR05B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP