Meet the Press: Episode, Jul 12, 2026
Kalshi What will Ro Khanna say during Meet the Press?
Markets
11 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Graham / Platner | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | 33%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 52%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 46%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 41%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 35%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 35%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 25%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMTPMENTION-26JUL12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP