Meet the Press: Episode, Apr 12, 2026
Kalshi What will Byron Donalds say during Meet the Press?
Markets
11 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 63%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 64%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DeSantis | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fishback | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 46%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 38%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMTPMENTION-26APR12B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP