Meet the Press (NBC), August 23, 2026
On the Aug 23, 2026 episode of Meet the Press, 6 of the 11 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump / President | Yes | 25 | 86 | ✓ | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Graham / Lindsey / Darline | Yes | 12 | 22 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Senate / Senator | Yes | 12 | 73 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 9 | 36 | ✓ | 46%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| El-Sayed / Abdul | Yes | 3 | 8 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election / Midterm | Yes | 1 | 16 | ✓ | 45%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Hamas / Israel | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Clarity Act | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Save Act / Save America Act | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| America First / American Dream | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/meet-the-press:2026-08-23:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=meet-the-press:2026-08-23:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP