Meet the Press: Episode, Aug 2, 2026
Kalshi What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press?
Markets
12 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Election | Yes | 51%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 44%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 49%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 47%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 38%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ballroom / Pool | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 26%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 24%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMTPMENTION-26AUG02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP