Meet the Press (NBC), September 27, 2026
On the Sep 27, 2026 episode of Meet the Press, 2 of the 12 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Updated
Markets
12 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 7 | 32 | ✓ | 59%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 3 | 22 | ✓ | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Foreign Aid / USAID | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| HIV / AIDS | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Microsoft | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 43%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 30 | ✓ | 41%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| OpenAI / Anthropic | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 37%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vaccine / Vaccination | No | 0 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
None of the listed words was said under the market rules.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/meet-the-press:2026-09-27:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=meet-the-press:2026-09-27:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP