Will “Shutdown / Shut Down” be said on Meet the Press next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Shutdown / Shut Down” was said on Meet the Press in 2 of 8 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 2, 2026 (25%), most recently on Mar 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

43%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=meet-the-press&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Meet the Press

Shutdown / Shut Down

Probability
43% · n=8
Settled
2/8 (25%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Bill Gates say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Cory Booker say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Jamie Raskin say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Ted Cruz say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Tim Scott say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Mike Waltz say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Ro Khanna say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 16, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo
Apr 12, 2026Shutdown / Shut Down KalshiNo
Apr 12, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo
Apr 5, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo
Mar 30, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiYes
Mar 29, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo
Mar 9, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiYes
Feb 2, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Shutdown / Shut Down” said on Meet the Press?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Shutdown / Shut Down” was said on Meet the Press in 2 of 8 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 2, 2026 (25%), most recently on Mar 29, 2026.
What is the probability “Shutdown / Shut Down” is said on Meet the Press next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Meet the Press: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/meet-the-press/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meet-the-press&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meet-the-press&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP