Meet the Press: Episode, Mar 30, 2026
Kalshi What will James Lankford say during Meet the Press?
Markets
11 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / Border | Yes | 49%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 49%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bipartisan | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | 44%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Filibuster | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Save Act / Save America Act | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordability / Affordable | No | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMTPMENTION-26MAR30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP