Will “Puzzle” be said on Survivor next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Puzzle” was said on Survivor in 10 of 23 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 8, 2025 (43%), most recently on May 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=23, from settlement history), not a forecast.

44%from settlement history only · n=23counts: the host
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes no no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
the host
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=puzzle

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Survivor

Puzzle

Probability
44% · n=23
Settled
10/23 (43%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for Survivor yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the contestants say during Survivor Season 50 Finale? · not listed

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What will Jeff Probst say during the Survivor Season 50 Finale? · not listed

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What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 12? · not listed

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What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 12? · settled yes

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What will any participating contestant say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · not listed

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What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · settled no

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What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 10? · not listed

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What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 10? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 9? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 9? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 23 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 13, 2026PuzzleKalshiYes
May 6, 2026PuzzleKalshiNo
Apr 29, 2026PuzzleKalshiNo
Apr 22, 2026PuzzleKalshiNo
Apr 15, 2026PuzzleKalshiYes
Apr 8, 2026PuzzleKalshiYes
Apr 1, 2026PuzzleKalshiNo
Mar 25, 2026PuzzleKalshiNo
Mar 18, 2026PuzzleKalshiYes
Mar 12, 2026PuzzleKalshiYes
Mar 5, 2026PuzzleKalshiNo
Feb 26, 2026PuzzleKalshiYes
Dec 18, 2025PuzzleKalshiYes
Dec 11, 2025PuzzleKalshiNo
Dec 4, 2025PuzzleKalshiNo
Nov 27, 2025PuzzleKalshiYes
Nov 20, 2025PuzzleKalshiNo
Nov 13, 2025PuzzleKalshiNo
Nov 6, 2025PuzzleKalshiYes
Oct 30, 2025PuzzleKalshiNo
Oct 23, 2025PuzzleKalshiNo
Oct 16, 2025PuzzleKalshiNo
Oct 8, 2025PuzzleKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Puzzle” said on Survivor?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Puzzle” was said on Survivor in 10 of 23 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 8, 2025 (43%), most recently on May 13, 2026.
What is the probability “Puzzle” is said on Survivor next time?
44%, from settlement history (n=23). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “Survivor: ‘Puzzle’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/survivor/words/puzzle (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=puzzle · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=survivor&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP