Will “Immunity Idol” be said on Survivor next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Immunity Idol” was said on Survivor in 11 of 24 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 8, 2025 (46%), most recently on May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=24, from settlement history), not a forecast.

49%from settlement history only · n=24counts: the host
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no no yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
the host
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=immunity%20idol

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Survivor

Immunity Idol

Probability
49% · n=24
Settled
11/24 (46%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for Survivor yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the contestants say during Survivor Season 50 Finale? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during the Survivor Season 50 Finale? · settled yes

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What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 12? · not listed

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What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 12? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will any participating contestant say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · settled yes

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What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 10? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 10? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 9? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 9? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 24 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 20, 2026Immunity IdolKalshiYes
May 13, 2026Immunity IdolKalshiNo
May 6, 2026Immunity IdolKalshiYes
Apr 29, 2026Immunity IdolKalshiYes
Apr 22, 2026Immunity IdolKalshiNo
Apr 15, 2026Immunity IdolKalshiNo
Apr 8, 2026Immunity IdolKalshiYes
Apr 1, 2026Immunity IdolKalshiNo
Mar 25, 2026Immunity IdolKalshiNo
Mar 18, 2026Immunity IdolKalshiYes
Mar 12, 2026Immunity IdolKalshiNo
Mar 5, 2026Immunity IdolKalshiNo
Feb 26, 2026Immunity IdolKalshiNo
Dec 18, 2025Immunity IdolKalshiYes
Dec 11, 2025Immunity IdolKalshiNo
Dec 4, 2025Immunity IdolKalshiYes
Nov 27, 2025Immunity IdolKalshiYes
Nov 20, 2025Immunity IdolKalshiYes
Nov 13, 2025Immunity IdolKalshiNo
Nov 6, 2025Immunity IdolKalshiYes
Oct 30, 2025Immunity IdolKalshiNo
Oct 23, 2025Immunity IdolKalshiNo
Oct 16, 2025Immunity IdolKalshiNo
Oct 8, 2025Immunity IdolKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Immunity Idol” said on Survivor?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Immunity Idol” was said on Survivor in 11 of 24 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 8, 2025 (46%), most recently on May 20, 2026.
What is the probability “Immunity Idol” is said on Survivor next time?
49%, from settlement history (n=24). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “Survivor: ‘Immunity Idol’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/survivor/words/immunity-idol (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=immunity%20idol · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=survivor&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP