Will “Nervous” be said on Saturday Night Live next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nervous” was said on Saturday Night Live in 1 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 4, 2025 (20%), most recently on Oct 4, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Saturday Night Live
Nervous
- Probability
- 23% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Saturday Night Live yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Nervous” said on Saturday Night Live?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nervous” was said on Saturday Night Live in 1 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 4, 2025 (20%), most recently on Oct 4, 2025.
- What is the probability “Nervous” is said on Saturday Night Live next time?
- 23%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Saturday Night Live: ‘Nervous’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/saturday-night-live/words/nervous (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-night-live&word=nervous · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=saturday-night-live&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP