Will Donald Trump say “Great Leader”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Great Leader” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Great Leader
- Probability
- 54% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…world stage and solve problems that have plagued us for far too long. Every leader in this room and your great leaders, many great leaders.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Great Leader |  Polymarket | Yes | 7 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Great Leader | Polymarket | Yes | 6 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Great Leader | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Great Leader”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Great Leader” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Great Leader” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Great Leader’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/great-leader (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=great%20leader · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP