Will Donald Trump say “Radical Left Lunatic”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Radical Left Lunatic” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (20%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 72¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Radical Left Lunatic
- Probability
- 39% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…fast. Look, that's what's going to happen if you put the radical left lunatics in here like the people that these two great people are…
…and I'm with the law enforcement. But Darlene's running against a radical left lunatic named Annie Andrews, who would be the most extreme and crazy…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Radical Left Lunatic |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 12 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Radical Left Lunatic | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 9 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Radical Left Lunatic | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Radical Left Lunatic | Polymarket | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Radical Left Lunatic | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Radical Left Lunatic”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Radical Left Lunatic” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (20%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Radical Left Lunatic” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Radical Left Lunatic’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/radical-left-lunatic (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=radical%20left%20lunatic · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP