Will Donald Trump say “Pass”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Pass” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 58% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Pass
- Probability
- 58% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…is we're going to come back from Iran. Those beautiful ships. We'll pass Cuba. We'll have one of them stop about 50 yards off the…
…I said, "You got to be kidding. No, I think you should pass a cognitive test." and and uh so I took him three three…
…for our wonderful first lady, who led a successful bipartisan effort to pass the Take It Down Act, a big deal.And it went almost, I…
…of countries. Please don't ask us to do that. So, I'll probably pass. Should I pass on? I think let's keep it the Atlantic Ocean,…
…whether the fraud is bad enough. President Trump has proposed that Congress pass mandatory minimums today so that everyone who commits fraud that the DOJ…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Pass”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Pass” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Pass” next time?
- 58%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Pass’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/pass (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=pass · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP