Will Donald Trump say “Goal”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Goal” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Goal
- Probability
- 42% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…were very proud of it. I hope the Europeans realize that Iran's goal was to complete their mad dash to a nuclear bomb from behind…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Goal |  Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Goal | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 9 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Goal | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Goal | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Goal | Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Goal”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Goal” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Goal” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Goal’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/goal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=goal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP