Will Donald Trump say “Truth”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Truth” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Truth
- Probability
- 62% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…And it's true. Less than two years ago, the radical left Democrats handed us the truth the I say it all the time. We It
…should be forced to take cognitive tests. You want to know the truth? You know why they don't? Because I had a thing of I…
…equal. But maybe that's even worse if you want to know the truth, Nick, because it has to do with voting. If a man who…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Truth”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Truth” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Truth” next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Truth’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/truth (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=truth · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP